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Does it matter for what you need to do? Either way, send a follow up mail after a polite interval. If they are interested but still not done with their N conversations, they won’t mind and will respond. If they are ghosting you, they won’t.

I guess the question is how much uncertainty can YOU handle. If, like in TCP/IP, you have to be certain, then send one or two follow ups. If you can handle the uncertainty, then Monte Carlo it is.

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